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Completed Finance Research Activity


1986-89 Credit Risk Loss Experience Study (FP100) - The Society of Actuaries (SOA) together with the American Council of Life Insurance (ACLI) in 1995 completed a study to measure incidence rates, loss severity, and expected basis-point loss associated with credit risk events. The completed research project: "Credit Risk Event Loss Experience: Commercial Mortgage Loans & Private Placement Bonds,” was published in the TSA Reports 1993-94.

Dynamic Solvency Testing: Time Frame Analysis, Scenario Interpretation, Credibility/Reliability and Dynamic Solvency Testing: Confidence Standards and Reliance Guidance (FP101) - Published as: "Research Report on Selected Dynamic Solvency Testing Topics,” TSA Reports 1993-94; Dynamic Financial Condition Analysis Handbook, SOA May 1996; the papers define certain topics and provide information on techniques currently available in support of the development of dynamic solvency testing (DST).

The Potential Role of Dynamic Solvency Testing in Preventing Insolvencies of Insurance Companies: A Historical Perspective (FP102) - Completed in 1995, the Committee on Financial and Investment Management Research identified major cause(s) of failure for a small group of companies and evaluated whether and how DST would have helped each company prevent its failure. This research project was published as: "The Potential Role of Dynamic Solvency Testing in Preventing Insolvencies of Insurance Companies: A Historical Perspective,” TSA Reports 1993-94.

Fair Value of Liabilities (FP103) - The Fair Value of Insurance Liabilities is a compilation on the call for papers sponsored by the SOA on the subject of market value of insurance liabilities. It was edited by Irwin T. Vanderhoof and Edward I. Altman and published by Kluwer Academic Publishers. A description of the book and ordering information can be found at http://www.kap.nl/prod/b/0-7923-9941-2.

Bond Pricing Research (FP104) - The three resulting articles analyze the challenges of the bond market and pricing. The projects were published as "Bond Returns, Liquidity and Missing Data" Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,” Vol. 27, No. 4, Dec. 1992, “Corporate Bond Valuation in the Dealer and Exchange Markets,” Contingencies, Vol. 4, No. 5, Sep/Oct. 1992, and “Corporate Bond Price Discrepancies in the Dealer and Exchange Markets,” Journal of Fixed Income, Dec. 1991.

Economic Assumptions Guidance (FP105) - The Economic Assumptions Task Force investigated what bearing economic assumptions (other than the shape of the yield curve) had on insurance modeling and to advance the profession's thinking about economic scenarios. The results were published as "Task Force Concludes Economic Variables Should Get More Attention,” The Actuary, Vol. 29, No. 9, Nov. 1995.

Boundaries of Risks (FP106) - This report provides information on current techniques available to identify risks that can affect insurance company solvency and what additional research may be necessary. The finished report appears as "Dynamic Solvency Testing: Boundaries of Risk Definition Phase,” TSA Reports 1995-96 and in Appendix B of the 2nd edition of the DFCA Handbook.

Actuarial Aspects of Currency Risks (FP108) - The "Professional Actuarial Specialty Guide (PASG) "Actuarial Aspects of Currency Risks" V-1-97 discusses the role of the actuary in determining currency risks.

Implications of Long-Term Interest Rate Guarantees in Pensions and Insurance (FP111) - The Society of Actuaries call for papers on the topic, "100-Year Term Structure of Interest Rates" resulted in two papers published in the North American Actuarial Journal (NAAJ) Vol. 3, No. 3, Jul. 1999. “Term Structure Models: A Perspective from the Long Rate" by Yong Yao discusses two questions about the asymptotic behavior of yield on default-free, zero-coupon bonds. The other paper, "Long-Term Yield Rates for Actuarial Valuations" by Jacques F. Carriere investigates the problem of estimating the yield rate of a pure-discount bond that matures in 100 years.

Economic Modeling Techniques (FP113) - A special edition of the North American Actuarial Journal, Volume 1, Number 3, July 1997 has been devoted to publishing the papers presented at the Actuarial and Financial Modeling: Towards a New Science conference held in December 1996. The conference was devoted to using models in actuarial and financial work, by presenting issues, raising questions and to promote writing.

Introduction to Actuarial Modeling
Complex Dynamics, Market Mediation and Stock Price Behavior
Current Actuarial Modeling Practice and related Issues and Questions
An Object-Oriented design for Dynamic Simulation Models
Skewness and Stock Option Prices

"Value at Risk" Measurement Application to Life Insurance (FP115) - The April 1999, Volume 3, Number 2, NAAJ compiled the following papers from the symposium, "Integrated Approaches to Risk Measurement in the Financial Services Industry held December 8-9, 1997. "Application of Coherent Risk Measures to Capital Requirements in Insurance," Philippe Artzner, "Extreme Value Theory as a Risk Management Tool," Paul Embrechts, Sidney I. Resnick and Gennady Samorodnitsky, "Enterprise Risk and Return Management for Financial Institutions," Mark Griffin and Rick Boomgaardt, "A Value-at-Risk Calculation of Required Reserves for Credit Risk in Corporate Lending Portfolios," Ronan O'Connor, James Golden and Robert Reck, "The Strategic Uses of Value at Risk: Long-Term Capital Management for Property/Casualty Insurers," William H. Panning, "Raising Value at Risk," Julia Lynn Wirch, "Cash Flow Valuation and Value at Risk," Allan Brender, "Evaluating the Risks of Modeling Assumptions Used in Risk Measurement," Teri L. Geske, "A VaR Model of an Investment Cycle: Attributing Returns and Performance," Thomas S. Y. Ho, "A Bridge Too VaR," Colin McKee. Another paper resulting from the conference was "Evaluating Assumptions Used in Risk Measurement" by Teri L. Geske.

Application of Coherent Risk Measures to Capital Requirements in Insurance

Extreme Value Theory as a Risk Management Tool
Externprise Risk and Return Management for Financial Institutions
A Value-at-Risk Calculation of Required Reseves for Credit Risk in Corporate Lending Portfolios
The Strategic Uses of Value at Risk: Long-Term Capital Management for Property/casualty Insurers
Raising Value at Risk

Study of the Use of Derivative Instruments by the Insurance Industry (FP116) - The paper, by J. David Cummins, Richard D. Phillips and Stephen D. Smith, "Corporate Hedging in the Insurance Industry: The Use of Financial Derivatives by U.S. Insurers,” discusses the extent to which insurance companies utilize financial derivatives contracts in risk management. It was published in the North American Actuarial Journal (NAAJ), Vol. 1, No. 1, Jan. 1997.

Actuarial Aspects of Currency Exchange Risk (FP118) - A call for papers on Actuarial Aspects of Currency Exchange Risks resulted in the following two papers "Pricing with Stochastic Foreign Exchange and Interest Rates" by Mike Davlin and Mark Tenney and "On Measuring the Risk of Foreign Exchange" by John Mange.

Actuarial and Financial Modeling Conference II (FP119) - The following research papers were presented at the conference: "Profitability, the Leading Indicator of Solvency" by David Becker, "Tales of a Model Builder – 10 Years in Review” by Mark Robson, “DFA: Sharing the Knowledge" by Tom Hettinger, "Use of Stochastic Modeling on Social Security Funding" by Mike Sze, "What’s New in Modeling Research?" by Jed Frees and Jack Luo, "Course 7: What it is, What it Isn’t" by Jeff Beckley, and "Society of Actuaries Course 7: What’s in it For You?" by Stuart Klugman and Warren Luckner.

Fair Value Accounting II (FP122) - The results of the Fair Value of Insurance Business Conference held March 18-19, 1999 at New York University were published in the book, The Fair Value of Insurance Business edited by Irwin Vanderhoof and Edward Altman. A short description and ordering information can be found at http://kapis.www.wkap.nl/prod/b/0-7923-8634-5.

Market Research for Actuarial Counseling (FP124) - The completion of this project resulted in the following paper, "Marketing Research: Actuaries Serving Individuals" by Teresa R. Winer, which discusses the viability of actuarial counseling (actuaries serving individuals.)

Risk Position Report Survey (FP125) - The group studied how the insurance industry measures risk through risk position reporting.

1999 Bowles Symposium (FP126) - The theme of the symposium held on December 9-10, led by Harold D. Skipper, was Financial Services Integration: Fortune or Fiasco? The papers presented at the symposium were published in a feature issue of the North American Actuarial Journal (NAAJ), Vol. 4, No. 3, July 2000.

Integration of Financial Services: Evidence from Australia
Who Says Financial Services Integration Is in Consumers' Best Interest?
The Integration of the Financial Services Industry: Where Are the Efficiencies?
The Integration of Financial Services in Europe
The Role of Electronic Commerce in Financial Services Integration
Financial Services Integration Worldwide: Promises and Pitfalls
Remarks on "Financial Services Integration: right for Some, Wrong for Others?"
Integration of Financial Services: A Canadian Perspective
The State of the Industry: Meeting the Challenges of a New Millennium
The Prudential Supervision of Financial Conglomerates in the European Union

Symposium on Stochastic Modeling of Variable/Segregated Fund Investment Guarantees (CIA) (FP127) - The symposium's goal was to promote education and research in the area of stochastic modeling of investment returns with respect to the maturity and mortality guarantees offered on segregated fund and variable annuity products. It was held on September 13-14, 1999. The Table of Contents can be downloaded from the following http://www.actuaries.ca/meetings/segfund/1999/funde.htm

Unified Valuation System (FP128) - AAA sponsored Unified Valuation System Symposium. This research project was completed in 2000.

Intra-Company Capital Allocation (FP129) - The Committee on Finance Research sponsored a call for papers on Intra-Company Capital Allocation focusing on a fresh examination of issues related to the capital needs of insurers, both in total and with regard to internal allocations of capital. The results of this research project can be found at IntraCompany Capital Allocation Papers.

Retirement Planning Methodology and Software (FP133) -This project surveys and evaluates how various software packages, books, and website software handle retirement and post-retirement risks. This project has been released as Retirement Planning Software Monograph.

Actuarial Role in the Viatical Settlements Market (FP135) - The author surveyed the viatical settlements market and investigated the role that actuaries may play in this market.


 

   

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